CourtVision — NBA Intelligence Platform

NBA Intelligence Platform

2025-26

Performance Trend

Last 9 games — PTS per game

Contract Value

Salary

$34.8M

VFM

1.8

Salary Rank

#36

Value

Fair Value

CourtVision Scouting Report

Jayson Tatum is an above-average contributor — BIS 79 puts him well above league average

—BOS

Executive Summary

Jayson Tatum is a player for the Celtics, ranking in the 96th percentile league-wide by Baseline Impact Score (79). In 30 minutes per game across 9 starts, Jayson produces 19.1/9.2/3.7 (pts/reb/ast).

Current Form & Trajectory

Live Form Index: 49 — below-average recent performance, ranking below league average. Performance has been remarkably consistent — no significant deviation from season baseline. Jayson is doing exactly what he's done all year, no more, no less. Predictable and reliable.

Scoring & Shot Profile

Provides 19.1 PPG as a secondary scoring option (OIQ 13). His scoring mostly flows from the system rather than self-creation. The three-point shot at 30.9% is functional but inconsistent. Defenses will go under screens and sag off, limiting his ability to collapse the defense as a primary ballhandler. The 39.1% field goal clip is concerning — either the shot diet is too difficult, or finishing/touch needs work. This inefficiency costs the offense roughly 2-3 points of production per game. At 87.9% from the line, Jayson is a reliable closer — teams can't afford to foul him in crunch time.

Defensive Scouting Report

Defensive Reality Score (DRS 69) ranks well above league average among players. Functional wing defender who can hold up against most matchups. Not a stopper but won't be a liability. 1.3 SPG and 0.1 BPG.

Off-Ball Value

Gravity & Off-Ball Impact (GOI 54) ranks right around league average among players.

Key Matchup Insight

Jayson's value peaks in playoff-style matchups against high-usage scorers. His defense (DRS 69) is his calling card, but limited offensive creation (OIQ 13) means his team needs other shot-creators around him. He's the perfect 3rd or 4th option on a contender, not a lead.

The Verdict

Jayson is a near-complete player at the player position (BIS 79, well above league average). He's a clear-cut starter on a contender and provides above-average impact across multiple dimensions. The gap between high-level and elite is narrow for him.

Projection

If Jayson's three-point shooting improves from 31% to league-average (36%), his BIS projects to jump from 79 to approximately 88.

Generated by CourtVision Intelligence Engine — based on current season metrics and game logs

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